Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) | Manifold

Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Plus

13

Ṁ644

2100

71%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

When will the first weakly general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

The aggregate of 916 Metaculus community forecasters was Jan 17, 2027 on Aug 03, 2023.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Technical AI Timelines

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