If Trump is elected, will America be seriously involved in any wars within 2 years?
Basic
9
Ṁ2862026
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Trump wins the election and 100+ American troops die in any one conflict between November 5, 2024 and November 3, 2026.
Resolves N/A if Trump does not win the 2024 presidential election.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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