Will Hollow Knight: Silksong be released this decade?
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong be released this decade?
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25
Ṁ35822029
95%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Making this market because I am seriously starting to worry that Silksong may be entering Duke Nukem Forever territory. Resolves YES if SIlksong is released on or before Dec 31 2029, NO otherwise.
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@TauTaf I Kickstarted a game called Radio The Universe back in 2012 for a slated 2014 release. It still has not released but, incredibly, still seems to be under some sort of semi-active development, including playtesting (although the seed money must have run out long ago). Every year I wonder if it will be the year it finally either comes out or gets cancelled (or at least apparently forgotten), but it's still in limbo after more than a decade...
So it's possible.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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