1,000
3.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ550 | |
| 2 | Ṁ507 | |
| 3 | Ṁ58 | |
| 4 | Ṁ38 | |
| 5 | Ṁ30 |
It would be nice if one could bet to win a certain sum for every seat above a level (and lose for every seat below that level).
Arb opportunity with this market, which is currently predicting more like 200 CON seats. I’m interested to see if the different market formats eventually coalesce or if they actively encourage different stable points.
@Noit I think the numeric format probably has room for improvement. I tried having a go with the "higher" and "lower" buttons a while ago, but they get me shares in parts of the distribution I don't want and they don't move the market much. Buying straight from the distribution seems better, but I only discovered it just now.
I like this as a numerical market! It will be interesting to see how it correlates with this binary market I set up a while back…
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00