In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?
Plus
59
Ṁ11k2029
51%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Each month, Gallup publishes a poll asking Americans "what do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?" If Gallup no longer conducts this poll (or an extremely similar one) in 2028, this market will resolve to N/A.
Otherwise, I will find the average (over the 12 months of 2028) of the displayed percentages for the category most specifically referencing abortion and the category most specifically referencing AI. For the current poll, I would consider the category "advancements of computers/technology" to be referencing AI. However, if there was an explicit "AI" option I would use that one instead.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will abortion be more morally acceptable among Americans in 2025 than in 2024, according to Gallup?
66% chance
Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
When will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion on Manifold?
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
46% chance
Will American opinion of AI improve in 2025, according to Gallup?
68% chance
By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?
50% chance
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
51% chance
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?
55% chance
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
43% chance
Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?
46% chance