What Will Happen In or before January 2026 [ADD RESPONSE]
What Will Happen In or before January 2026 [ADD RESPONSE]
50%
EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) enters definitive period
50%
Federal Gift and Estate Tax Exemptions expire
50%
Major changes to UK GCSE exam policies take effect
50%
Significant Microsoft product reaches end of support
50%
New EU carbon pricing regulations for imported goods begin
50%
Changes to US tax exemption limits occur

Background

January 2026 marks several significant regulatory changes globally:

  • The FDA's Food Traceability Rule becomes effective, requiring enhanced record-keeping for certain foods

  • The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) enters its definitive period, implementing carbon pricing on imports

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on major events and changes that occur in January 2026. Each answer will resolve independently:

  • YES if the event/change occurs in January 2026

  • NO if the event/change does not occur in January 2026

  • N/A if it cannot be definitively determined whether the event occurred

For regulatory changes, implementation must actually begin (not just be scheduled) for a YES resolution. Changes must be documented by reputable news sources or official government announcements.

Considerations

  • Some scheduled changes may be delayed, modified, or canceled before January 2026

  • Additional significant events not currently anticipated may occur

  • For regulatory changes, there may be a difference between official implementation dates and actual enforcement/impact

This closes in 1 Feb. 2026

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