Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
Plus
46
Ṁ62kJan 1
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES for the first test that takes place during the market open and close dates.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will Israel strike at Iran’s nuclear facilities in Natanz by the end of 2024.
13% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
56% chance
Will Iran declare that they are a nuclear power by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
33% chance
Will Iran announce it is a nuclear state by end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?
35% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated by end of 2024? (tests included)
7% chance
Will Israel test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2024?
6% chance