Which of these Trump campaign pledges will come to pass by the end of his second term?

Plus

Ṁ3779

2029

89%

Substantial Increase in Oil Permitting

84%

Large-scale deportations of immigrants

80%

Attempted prosecution of the "enemy within"/political opponents

78%

Require and preside over increase in defense spending from allies

76%

Reduce independence of the Fed

62%

Heavy Tariffs

55%

Expanding the child tax credit to $5000

47%

Ending taxes on Social Security income

47%

Large Tax Cuts

46%

Cut federal funding to schools that teach "critical race theory" and "transgender" matters

45%

Repeal or substantially curtail the Inflation Reduction Act

44%

Increased Aid for Israel

36%

Ending taxes on tips

28%

Dismantling the Environmental Protection Agency

19%

Ending taxes on foreign earned income

Resolutions will be entirely subjective and resolve according to my judgement alone due to the implausibility in coming up with criteria for all of them. I consider myself pretty fair with market resolutions though, if you don't trust me - look at my past market resolutions. To remove any conflicts, I will not bet.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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