Background

European leaders are currently divided on deploying peacekeeping troops to Ukraine. While French President Emmanuel Macron has shown openness to the idea, others like German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk have expressed skepticism. President Zelensky has indicated that an effective peacekeeping force would need around 200,000 soldiers. Russia has stated that Western peacekeeping forces would be unacceptable, similar to their stance on NATO membership for Ukraine.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if:

• A force of at least 10,000 non-Ukrainian European soldiers

• Is officially stationed in Ukraine in a peacekeeping capacity

• By December 31, 2025, 23:59 UTC

The market will resolve NO if:

• No such force is stationed by the deadline

• A smaller force is stationed

• Only non-European or Ukrainian forces are stationed

• Forces are stationed but not in a peacekeeping capacity (e.g., direct combat operations

The market will resolve N/A if the war is ongoing at years' end.