
Will Trump pardon or grant clemency to Eric Adams?
Basic
5
Ṁ5532029
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Eric Adams receives a pardon or clemency from Trump before the deadline of the question.
Resolves NO if the question elapses before such a pardon or clemency is granted.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
I am somewhat disappointed in myself that I didn't consider this outcome. Nevertheless I think the current market value of 8% is surprisingly low. Note that the charges were dropped "without prejudice" and can be resumed at any time. The market lasts until 2029 and I think its pretty likely that Trump will just go absolutely ham with protective pardons on his way out the door, especially for people like Adams.
filled limit order Ṁ17/Ṁ100 YES at 18% (cancelled)
bought Ṁ20 NO
Despite recent reports... I'm thinking Trump wouldn't do it before a bunch of Jan 6 people... And in a few months he will have forgotten Adams exists
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump pardon Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs before January 1, 2026?
10% chance
Will trump ever receive any federal pardon in his lifetime?
60% chance
Will Trump pardon himself over the course of his second term?
40% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election will he pardon at least one family or staff member before the end of his term?
70% chance
Will Eric Adams face prison time from the current charges brought against him?
7% chance
Will Eric Adams be convicted of a felony by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will Trump pardon himself?
39% chance
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez?
11% chance
Will Trump pardon the Gretchen Whitmer kidnapping plot defendants?
16% chance
Will Trump pardon a member of his administration to avoid their prosecution for being held in contempt of court in 2025?
24% chance