Largest company end of May?
166
Ṁ110k
May 31
78%
Microsoft
21%
NVIDIA

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2025, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be https://companiesmarketcap.com

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Okay folks I'm gonna admit I've only ever done some WeBull trading on stocks I had boutique knowledge of. Where is the obvious public information that things are possibly turning around for Nvidia in the next week?

@Panfilo I think nvidia is just much more volatile than microsoft so the chance it reaches an extreme valuation is greater

@Panfilo Nvidia earnings next week are going to make the stock quite volatile.

Polymarket has it at 25% right now: https://polymarket.com/event/largest-company-end-of-may

@MiaCat miacat

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 47% order

@Soaffine 47 is my president, AAPL is too dependent on Chinese production

fyi not all markets close at the same time. and I expect those companies to be listed on many stock exchanges.

@nikthink If it comes down to it I will be copying polymarket’s resolution 😅 but ill also bet it doesnt come down to it, to any interested parties

filled a Ṁ50 YES at 83% order

@Bayesian : are you ready to bet at 1:1M odds? 😛

bought Ṁ25 YES

@nikthink no, 1:200 tops

@Bayesian for simplicity it should be based on the Nasdaq (US) 4pm ET regular session close on May 30 (31 is Saturday markets closed). That is the most relevant and liquid market, while after-hours is prone to glitches and manipulation given the low liquidity. Besides, that's what https://companiesmarketcap.com does, an easy, reliable reference without having to resort to compiling shares outstanding and such.

@deagol Yeah that’s s good idea, thank you! Ill update the description

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