If a team of AIs work for me for personal work or similar, for an extended amount of time, this market resolves YES. it doesn't count if "they work for me" as in they run in the background of some search engine process that is opaque to me; i must be in pretty direct control of those AI agents.
1,000
3.00Do you have any intention of building them yourself?
I have built (with ChatGPT help) a fairly basic python script that grabs everything posted to a popular UK jobs site and feeds it along with my qualifications and criteria into gpt4-mini, to see if there's anything of interest. Are you prepared to do the legwork on similar things? Or are you waiting for consumer offerings?
@Noit Not really (i intended to just wait for it to be easy enough to set up that it benefits me to have ais working for me continuously), but I will n/a the market until ive come up with something better. The point is to measure the degree to which the agent tech is improving, not how nuch effort i put in making this market resolve yes
@Bayesian Might be worth factoring in cost (or price you're willing to pay) into your question.
The agents will presumably have different prices depending on the complexity of the problem they're trying to solve. If you're looking at this as a business owner or employee then those costs might be less relevant if the problems are more valuable. If you're looking at it as an individual then you're more likely to have mass-market problems with mass-market solutions. Like my jobs example - if that cost $1 a month then you'd probably be daft not to pay that. If it cost $100 then that's a more difficult value proposition.
All spitballing, I think it's a cool meta-question but difficult to operationalise.