
Catarina Devon Stock
Catarina Devon Stock
Basic
15
Ṁ16kṀ
945
per share
1D
1W
1M
ALL
GOOD:
-Very likely arriving to Egghead with laffite (Every other BB pirate is busy)
-Perfect impersonation df
-Has not shown feats yet (Oda often introduces characters with strong feats)
BAD:
-Might get low diffed in egghead/only appear later as a weak blackbeard pirate
Buy: Good
Short: Bad
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.