Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025? | Manifold

Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?

Plus

47

Ṁ24k

2026

2%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if a nuclear weapon coming from Iran detonates or is intercepted in Israeli airspace before 2025.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇮🇱 Israel

#Arab-Israeli Conflict

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Would we ever know if it is intercepted?

bought Ṁ500 NO

The market close date is 1 January 2026 but the title says "Before 2025" which suggests it should resolve 1 January 2025. Is this a typo or intentional?

@zsig oops I meant the end of 2025, sorry @traders for the ambiguity, fixing that now!!

Related questions

Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

US nukes Iran in 2025?

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?

Will Iran assemble a nuclear bomb before January 2026?

Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?

Will Iran obtain a nuke in 2025?

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?

Will Israel topple the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the end of 2025?

Related questions

Will the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?

Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Will Iran obtain a nuke in 2025?

US nukes Iran in 2025?

Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?

Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?

Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?

Will Iran assemble a nuclear bomb before January 2026?

Will Israel topple the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran by the end of 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules