Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?
Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?
Plus
13
Ṁ6242029
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve to Yes
When iphone is no longer the # 1 dominant driver for revenue.
Example
services makes more revenue than iPhones.
A new product category like Apple Vision cannibalizes iPhone sales phone for number one
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Would “services“ count as a product line?
(Just depends on your definition. I think this needs to be clarified here.)
The Apple Car is another possibility.
We have a while left before 2030, I think a lot could happen.
https://appleinsider.com/inside/apple-car
iPhone has hovered around 50% of Apple's revenue for ten years.
The likeliest challenger is revenue from Services, which has doubled to 25% in the past 7 years. In my opinion, their focus on visionOS devices makes another doubling of Services seem unlikely.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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