When will the EU cease to exist?
Plus
25
Ṁ16012160
2%
Up to 2028
25%
2029-2036
15%
2037-2049
17%
2050-2070
14%
2071-2104
6%
2105-2159
19%
2160 or after
Resolves according to the [Metaculus question](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/19836/end-of-the-eu/).
If the answer buckets seem weird, that's because they have a Fibonacci number of years (starting with 5). This was easier and more integer than using exponentials.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@AntoineBonnet I wonder to what extent this is due to the different question format - continuous there and these weird Fibonacci buckets I came up with here.
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