Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance | Manifold

Resolves to YES in 2030 with 5% chance

Basic

9

Ṁ434

2030

9%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Once it is 2030, I will generate a uniformly random integer in [1,100] and this resolves YES if that number <= 5, else resolves NO.

Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified they will use the Fairly Random Bot to generate the random number for resolution.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Interest Rates

Get

1,000

and

3.00

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want to add that i will use fairly random bot since its now been added

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