By which year will Apple change its naming/release schedule for iPhones
By which year will Apple change its naming/release schedule for iPhones
Basic
2
Ṁ892031
9%
By 2024 (iPhone 16)
17%
By 2025 (iPhone 17)
50%
By 2026 (iPhone 18)
66%
By 2027 (iPhone 19)
76%
By 2028 (iPhone 20)
80%
By 2029 (iPhone 21)
86%
By 2030 (iPhone 22)
Resolved
50%No changes until after 2030
In Fall 2019, Apple released the iPhone 11 series
In Fall 2020, Apple released the iPhone 12 series
In Fall 2021, Apple released the iPhone 13 series
In Fall 2022, Apple released the iPhone 14 series
In Fall 2023 Apple released the iPhone 15 series
When will this pattern stop?
Clarifications:
Examples of pattern stopping include:
returning to S naming scheme e.g. iPhone 15s
Switching to Spring (not late fall like they did with iPhone X due to display shortages or any SE phone)
Switching to iPhone (no number) like they do with iPad
Switching to Year (like Samsung did going from S10 to S20 in 2020)
Changing iPhone release schedule from annual to biannual
etc.
But doesn't include roman numerals if they pronounce it as a number like they did with iPhone X (pronounced 10 by apple) e.g. iPhone XX (pronounced 20)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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