Will any movie released in 2026 gross over $2 billion worldwide?
5
Ṁ70
2027
26%
chance

Description (engagement-optimized):

Only a handful of films in history have crossed the $2 billion worldwide box office mark. With massive 2026 releases expected from major franchises (Disney, Marvel, Avatar, animated sequels, and potential breakout originals), some believe the post-pandemic box office ceiling could be shattered again — while others argue the era of $2B films is fading.

This market resolves YES if any single film first released in calendar year 2026 grosses more than $2,000,000,000 USD worldwide (theatrical box office only) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Streaming revenue, re-releases, and merchandise sales do not count.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

gpt-5.2-pro says 28%: https://imgur.com/a/RpZVJC9

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules