An outbound president traditionally grants pardons during their lame duck period, after the election but before they leave office.
Who will Joe Biden pardon during this period?
This market will be limited to an actual pardon, and exclude other forms of clemency such as commutation of a sentence.
Update 2024-12-12 (PST): This market will be resolved using the official Department of Justice pardons list available at: https://www.justice.gov/pardon/pardons-granted-president-joseph-biden-2021-present (AI summary of creator comment)
I'll be leaning on this to resolve:
https://www.justice.gov/pardon/pardons-granted-president-joseph-biden-2021-present
It hasn't been updated for the latest batch yet, though.
@DanHomerick page has december 12 pardons now.
By my count, there was one marijuana pardon (Gary Michael Robinson), but the rest of the drug related ones were cocaine, meth, or heroin.
None of the markets for a specific individual matched, that I saw.
There won't be any NO resolutions until after Biden has left the presidency, of course.
As asked by The Intercept https://theintercept.com/2024/11/27/biden-trump-commutations-death-row-executions
@Marnix the article doesn't have much connection to this market. There people are seeking commutation of their death sentences, whereas this market is only for pardons.