How much global warming by 2050?
Basic
8
Ṁ69Ṁ
242
per share
1D
1W
1M
ALL
the average global temperature on Earth has increased by at least 1.1° Celsius (1.9° Fahrenheit) since 1880.
How far above 1880 levels will the temperature be in 2050?
100 M = 1°C
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
predictedSHORT
Should the close date be more like 31 Jan 2051 rather than May 3023?
The warming rate is around 0.2C per decade so 1.1 + 3*0.2 suggests ~1.7C warmer. If this is 1 mana per .01C then price should fall towards ~170.
Emissions changes have to be dramatic to change this warming rate by much.
Related questions
Related questions
By 2050, how many degrees (C°) of global warming will there be relative to the 1851-1900 baseline?
[Climate Change] How much global warming will we have by the end of 2024?
1.3
Global temperature anomaly in 2050
1.9
What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)
Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2050?
50% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?
27% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.2°C before 2050?
45% chance
Conditional on at least 5 degrees of global warming by 2100, will at least 1 billion people remain alive?
60% chance
What will be the primary cause of a significant global catastrophe by 2030?
Will global temperature drop by at least 1°C for a year by 2050 (e.g. nuclear winter scenario)?
46% chance