Which country will win the AI race by 2030?
7
Ṁ920
2029
14%
China
54%
US
24%
No one
8%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to the country that is widely considered to have "won" the AI race by the end of 2030. Resolution will be based on expert consensus from leading AI researchers, international organizations, and technology analysts regarding which country has achieved clear leadership in artificial intelligence development, implementation, and strategic advantage.

If no single country has established a clear lead by the end of 2030, or if expert opinion is significantly divided with no consensus, the market will resolve to "No one."

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This market needs an option for "the AI" (which is the only entity that can ultimately "win" in a contest to create broadly superhuman machines that no one knows how to control or make robustly care about humanity).

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