Background
Elon Musk's estranged transgender daughter, Vivian Jenna Wilson, has publicly alleged that her father used sex-selective in vitro fertilization (IVF) to conceive children, including herself, with the intention of having male heirs. These allegations were made in March 2025 through social media posts. As of now, Elon Musk has not publicly responded to these claims, and there is no confirmed investigation into the matter.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve as YES if, by December 31, 2026:
Elon Musk publicly confirms he has used sex-selective IVF, OR
Court documents, medical records, or other credible evidence emerges that conclusively proves Musk used sex-selective IVF, OR
A reputable investigative report with multiple sources and evidence confirms the practice beyond reasonable doubt.
The market will resolve as NO if:
By December 31, 2026, none of the above conditions are met
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00