Biden has been saying the US will build a port in Gaza. However, distribution on land will be an issue, with many hungry people looking for food. Will there be a large scale violent incident around the Gaza port in 2024? Could be a stampede, could be soldiers or Gazans opening fire on one another. Size of the incident more than 5 casualties. The 'Al-Rashid humanitarian aid incident' would more than count, the one that happened 29th of Feb. The incident has to be around the new port in Gaza, it can't be through distributing the food somewhere far away in Gaza. It can be both an incident from people just trying to get food and some mass hysteria, or because of a Hamas or other organisation attacking around the port.

For the purpose of this market a massacre has at least 100 deaths. Massacre is a slightly loaded term, it's used here to indicate the scale of death in a violent incident.