Elon Musk is on good terms with Trump now, being appointed to new positions and interacting closely with Trump’s transition team. However, there are reports that he’s facing backlash from Republicans who see him as overstepping or trying to replace Trump. Will Musk still be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?
Resolves based on my subjective opinion of the news.
Update 2025-10-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Clarifications:
Aims to be neutral and objective when resolving.
Acknowledges some degree of subjectivity in the resolution process.
Update 2025-02-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): End-of-Year Determination:
The outcome is based solely on the state of Musk and Trump's relationship at the end of 2025.
Any interim conflicts or reconciliations are not relevant as long as the final status meets the criteria.
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3.00If they fight but are friends again by the end of the year. Will you resolve NO when they fight or YES at the end of the year?
This doesn't count yet, but it seems like it's already building up and we're only four days in
https://www.politico.com/news/2025/01/23/trump-staff-musk-conflict-00200311
Could I ask for your general opinion on Musk and Trump both? Considering this resolves based on your subjective opinion, I think it might be a little helpful for me to have an idea.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00