Liberal Party leadership spill before next federal election?
3
Ṁ202028
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if:
The Liberal Party of Australia conducts a spill for leadership of the party
It is held before the next federal election, scheduled to be held around October 2028
Otherwise market will resolve to “No”.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a party leader resign from position as leader and their seat as a result of the 2025 Australian Federal Election?
Who will lead the Canadian Liberal Party at the end of 2025?
Liberal Party of Australia forms new coalition by next federal election?
21% chance
Will Justin Trudeau be leader of the opposition after the next Canadian election?
0% chance
Party leaders resigning after Canadian federal election
-
Who will be the leader of the Liberal Party of Australia at the end of 2025?
Who will succeed Pierre Poilievre as the next leader of the Conservative Party of Canada?
Who will succeed Mark Carney as the next leader of the Liberal Party of Canada?
Will Pierre Poilievre win the 2025 Canadian federal election?
1% chance
Simon Birmingham will take leadership of the federal Liberal Party in Australia within one month of the next election.
1% chance