Who will succeed Jagmeet Singh as the next leader of Canada's New Democratic Party (NDP)?
Who will succeed Jagmeet Singh as the next leader of Canada's New Democratic Party (NDP)?
Basic
3
Ṁ452026
6%
Niki Ashton
6%
Charlie Angus
6%
Peter Julian
10%
Rachel Notley
22%
John Horgan
15%
Matthew Green
19%
Wab Kinew
14%
Jagmeet Singh is the leader of Canada's federal New Democratic Party (NDP) as of the time of writing this question.
When Jagmeet Singh ceases to be leader of the federal NDP, who will replace him?
This question resolves to a named individual and not to “Other” or non-name answers. Acting or temporary leaders do not count. The resolution date will be extended as necessary until Jagmeet Singh is permanently replaced.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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