Will WW3 directly cause over 500M civilian casualties? | Manifold

Will WW3 directly cause over 500M civilian casualties?

Plus

4

Ṁ140

2100

52%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves according to the best estimate of experts that is accepted by western mainstream media 5 years after the end of the war.

If "western" doesn't make sense because of a new geopolitical order, this market will resolve according to the consensus of the media of the biggest country (by population).

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Existential Risk

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1,000

and

3.00

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