How many Republican Members of the 119th U.S. Congress (House and Senate) will resign in 2026?
7
Ṁ24312026
Invalid contract
There are ~270 relevant people who this applies to, any of which will count. Includes all members of the 119th United States Congress (Wikipedia).
Update 2025-12-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only actual resignations count toward resolution. Merely announcing a resignation does not count unless the member actually resigns.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@NzJack0n actually resigning, announcing isn’t worth anything. Made the market bc it seems like many of the claims are empty… like, if you’re going to resign, just do it already?
Related questions
Related questions
In 2025, will any member of U.S. Congress change their party affiliation?
6% chance
Will any current member of Congress leave their party before 2026.
5% chance
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
18% chance
Will 6 or more Tory MPs resign from their seats before 2026?
2% chance
How many House seats will the GOP lose in 2026?
Will 5 Republican members of Congress call for Trump to resign before the end of 2026?
5% chance
How many Republican Representatives will Texas elect in 2026?
Will a member of United States congress die in 2026?
89% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2026?
89% chance
Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
98% chance