Either this market is underpriced after Trump's victory or this market had priced in Trump's victory all along.

I think this is too restrictive, live TV is dead.

What if they broadcast or show themselves via an app? Truth Social, X (formally Twitter), or OnlyFans? Lots of ways to show yourself getting off in this technologically advanced age we live in.

lol I just read the description, my bad

@Bananas You weren't the only person with this knee jerk reaction.

I still actually LOL uncontrollably when I see this market in my feed. It just doesn't get old.

@HarrisonLucas It is quite old, creating back in July! Why are you laughing?

Imagine the possibilities! How could you not laugh?

“My fellow Americans. You are about to witness a more perfect union than any that has been seen in this Oval Office before. Put the kids in bed, pop open a beer, and get ready to witness history in the making. They once said that an Instagram-influencer-turned-porn-star couldn’t make it to the presidency — that I would tarnish the august and distinguished legacy of Donald Trump’s three terms in office (and two years of siege occupation of the west wing). But the American dream continues to stand at full mast, throbbing gently in the wind, raining freedom upon every man, woman, and child. I am living proof that it is the god given right of any American to get exactly what he or she wants out of life. God bless America! Let the healing begin! [naval brass band begins playing the national anthem, as the president of the United States disrobes].”

Is this any more surreal than what contemporary politics would look like from the perspective of someone who lived in the states 100 years ago? I think not.

@HarrisonLucas You would enjoy the movies Don't Look Up and Idiocracy.

This one is going to the moon

It's a shame that the New York Times didn't mention this very important market in their article about Manifold and prediction markets.

If it happened on live TV specifically, it would probably be cut by a delay. Would the orgasm have to make it past censors?

@ImperishableNeet Yes.

I mean, if we speak about it rationalussy, it could be happening at any time. You must consider this.

@Mirek Dude, are you from Koy4Goff? Rad! Add me to your MSN! Add me to your MSN! I, too, love prize models at the pump!

@mr22222222 There are no hot singles for you in the area.

How would we know? What if he has a really good poker face and there’s an intern under his desk in the Oval Office?

@JonathanRay Three answers (1) If you have to ask, you'll never know. (2) We will use the Car Sagan scientific method: we will simply ask the invisible dragon in the room what he or she saw. (3) Dude, not even Bill Clinton could make his way through a teleprompter reading while in the act without his voice cracking like a 13-year-old boy's when the event happens. I invite you to search through PornHub to find a proof of concept, and then when you find one, to keep that link to yourself. Thanks.

time to manipulate this market

@Jordinne I will vote for you in the next election. "If you will it, it is no dream!" -- Herzl

What is this question bro 😭😭😭

@JakeTeale (1) It's funny. (2) I'm helping Manifold reach its level. (3) Ten years ago if someone published a question that said "US Presidential Candidate promotes his products in a debate, QVC style," it would have been bid to near zero... until Trump started talking about Trump steaks and Trump water in the middle of a debate.

@mr22222222 thank u for helping us level 🙏

If you think the chance is effectively zero, remember that Donald Trump was once president of the USA -- and he could be president again.

@mr22222222 I don't think he'll ever have another orgasm... But then again, I don't even want to think about it!

@ErwinRossen 2035 is more than enough time to allow Kanye West to win the presidency.

@mr22222222 don't you mean Hitler 2