Background

The search for extraterrestrial life in our solar system is actively ongoing, with several promising locations under investigation. Mars has shown evidence of past liquid water and organic molecules, while moons like Europa (Jupiter) and Enceladus (Saturn) harbor subsurface oceans that could potentially support life. Current missions like NASA's Perseverance rover on Mars and planned missions to these icy moons are specifically designed to search for biosignatures of past or present life. Finding extraterrestrial and indigenous life inside our own solar system has huge implications on the probability of abiogenesis, the Drake equation, and the fermi paradox.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if:

• Scientific evidence of past or present extraterrestrial life (including microbial life) is discovered and confirmed by peer-reviewed research in any location within our solar system by Dec 31, 2100

• The discovery is officially announced by a major space agency (NASA, ESA, etc.) and supported by multiple independent scientific institutions

This market will resolve NO if:

• No confirmed evidence of past or present extraterrestrial life is found by January 1, 2100

• Evidence is found but remains inconclusive or disputed by the scientific community

• The life we found is not indigenous to the solar system

Considerations

• The definition of "life" for this market includes microscopic organisms, fossilized remains, and unambiguous biosignatures

• Chemical signatures that could be explained by both biological and non-biological processes will not be considered sufficient evidence unless definitively linked to biological origins

• The discovery must be within our solar system (findings from exoplanets do not count)

• Contamination from Earth-based organisms must be ruled out for the discovery to count

• With "indigenous", I mean any life that naturally orbits the sun, that either emerged inside the solar system or has similar origins to terrestrial life (for example, ancient panspermia, or ancient f*cking aliens seeding life here).