How low will 30 year fixed rate mortgage rates get in 2024? | Manifold

How low will 30 year fixed rate mortgage rates get in 2024?

Basic

7

Ṁ1220

Dec 31

1%

Higher than 6.5%

76%

6.0-6.5%

24%

5.5-6.0%

1.6%

5.0-5.5%

1%

Lower than 5.0%

I will resolve this based on St. Louis Fed data - https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Housing markets

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

Is this the minimum throughout the year, or the value at the end of the year?

@DanMan314 Good question: To clarify, I will resolve based on the lowest value during the year.

@JJL Thanks!

I'm pretty new to this. Thanks for the note. I'll look into it.

Uhh, this should be a linked market. Only one of these can be true

@DavidFWatson https://manifold.markets/DavidFWatson/how-low-will-30-year-fixed-rate-mor-460a2fca2084?r=RGF2aWRGV2F0c29u

@DavidFWatson Does linked mean that a trader can only bet on one outcome? If so, why shouldn't someone be able to bet on a range wider than 0.5 percentage points if they think that the total probability for the wider range is wrong?

@JeffLobo no, it means that only one can resolve to true. And I think I used the wrong term anyway. "How many answers will be chosen", for this it should be "only one"

Related questions

How low will 30 year fixed rate mortgage rates get in 2024?

When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)

Will 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5% before 2026? (United States)

What will the lower-end of the Fed funds rate be after the FOMC meeting in [month] in 2024? Resolves to 32×(r - 2.5%).

Mortgage rates higher in 5 years?

What will be the 30-year fixed mortgage rate average on April 1, 2025?

Will average mortgage rates drop more than a total of 0.5% between now and Dec. 31, 2024.

Will mortgage rates fall below 5% anytime before the end of 2024?

Will 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5% before 2025? (United States)

Will a 30-year fixed rate mortgage be cheaper than an adjustable rate mortgage for me?

Related questions

How low will 30 year fixed rate mortgage rates get in 2024?

What will be the 30-year fixed mortgage rate average on April 1, 2025?

When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)

Will average mortgage rates drop more than a total of 0.5% between now and Dec. 31, 2024.

Will 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5% before 2026? (United States)

Will mortgage rates fall below 5% anytime before the end of 2024?

What will the lower-end of the Fed funds rate be after the FOMC meeting in [month] in 2024? Resolves to 32×(r - 2.5%).

Will 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5% before 2025? (United States)

Mortgage rates higher in 5 years?

Will a 30-year fixed rate mortgage be cheaper than an adjustable rate mortgage for me?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules