Will the United States default on its sovereign debt obligations by December 31, 2025?
Basic
10
Ṁ12262026
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to YES if any of the following occur before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2025:
1. The U.S. Treasury fails to make a scheduled payment of principal or interest on any U.S. Treasury securities on time and in full
2. Any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, or Fitch) declares the U.S. to be in default
3. The U.S. Treasury announces it will miss or delay any scheduled payment on Treasury securities
The market will resolve to NO if none of the above occurs before the specified deadline
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Pakistan default by 2025?
28% chance
Will the US government default on its debt by the end of 2025?
8% chance
Well there be a debt ceiling showdown before 2025?
86% chance
Will the US debt ceiling continue suspended until after January 2025?
59% chance
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2025?
16% chance
What will US Sovereign debt be in 2035?
70
Will Turkey Default on Its Debt By The End of 2024?
10% chance
Will US credit rating downgrade by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will the US National Debt exceed $35T by the end of 2024?
98% chance
Will the Chinese government default on any debt payments before 2028?
20% chance