Which card will be next banned in Commander?
Which card will be next banned in Commander?
Basic
4
Ṁ254Jan 1
55%
The One Ring
41%
Rhystic Study
34%
Thassa's Oracle
9%
Timetwister
5%
Intuition
If there is a separate CEDH banlist announced on the official commander banlist page, that would not cause a card to resolve YES
https://mtgcommander.net/index.php/2024/01/27/state-of-the-format-2024/
If there are multiple bannings in one day, multiple options could resolve YES.
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Continuing from the question above, are only these 5 cards considered? If one of these cards are not banned as the "next card," do all resolve NO? Or does this market stay open until we get a hit?
(I see that we are capable of adding options to this market.)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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