The Netherlands is facing significant challenges in relation to water management and a changing climate. Although technologies and systems to manage the risks are well established and in place, these mitigations may or may not be sufficient to prevent a catastrophic flooding event.
For the purposes of this market the definition of a catastrophic event is EITHER;
1) €100m or more in directly attributable property damage
2) the directly attributable loss of 10 or more human lives
1,000
3.00This market is remarkably well-calibrated based on base rates
https://www.perplexity.ai/search/hoeveel-schade-deed-de-laatste-E7OXtx34Rn6bDvbvdVxFPw#4
@BrunoParga Good question, and yes this is only the parts of the Kingdom on the European mainland (the bit below sea level and at risk of flooding)
it looks like this may have happened in 2021, so more likely than I would have thought at first https://nos.nl/artikel/2447911-extremer-weer-kost-verzekeraars-steeds-meer-geld
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and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00