Atmospheric PPM CO2 in 2050
Basic
8
Ṁ2192051
477
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/13/3571/2020/
I'm uncertain whether continued economic growth is even possible until even 2050, but I haven't seen another model that features some type of forced degrowth from conflict or exceeding planetary boundaries, so I'll rely on SSP4-3.4 from the above for now. If some one provides a paper with a scenario matching my geopolitical and other expectations (growth limited by rising material-energy costs), I will update. Until then, I will bet according to table 5 with SSP4-3.4, which is 472.9 ppm.
@parhizj If someone knows/finds another pathway type paper let me know, please, as I did not do much scouring.
Related questions
Related questions
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentration exceed 425 ppm in 2025?
49% chance
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentration exceed 500 ppm in 2050?
34% chance
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentration exceed 450 ppm in 2030?
34% chance
Will atmospheric CO₂ concentration exceed 600 ppm in 2100?
37% chance
What will be the annual mean CO2 level in 2030?
437
What will be the mean annual CO2 level in 2025?
426
What levels of atmospheric co2 will we reach by the end of 2025?
What will be the mean annual CO2 level in 2024?
424
Atmospheric CO2 level in 2100
In 50 years will earth have 550ppm?
45% chance