What score will GPT-5 get on the SAT? | Manifold

What score will GPT-5 get on the SAT?

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2027

1,538

expected

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Resolves to the first credible news story about GPT-5's performance on the SAT

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bought Ṁ1 YES

google's latest build of gemini reached ~parity with GPT4 despite probably throwing way more compute at it

bought Ṁ0 YES

there's probably alpha in making bets just to smooth out the curve of numeric markets, with zero information about anything else

bought Ṁ1 YES

my 90% confidence interval is 1430-1500

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Related questions

Will Gemini achieve a higher score on the SAT compared to GPT-4?

Will GPT-5 have a perfect SAT score in either section?

What will be true about GPT-5?

Which Benchmarks will GPT-5 be benchmarked against, when it is announced?

Will GPT-4.5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

What will be true about GPT-5? (See description)

Will GPT-5 score at least 100 in an IQ test?

Will an AI get a perfect SAT score before 2025?

GPT-5: 120+ on AMC

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