Do it or ur gay. Simpul az.

@NivlacM Wow you're way better at this than I am

@Joshua the whole deadline thing seemed like an unnecessary complication

this is a litmus test for whether humanity is able to be happily surprised by the future

@KJW_01294 How so?

For what it's worth, I'd be saddened and disappointed by a YES resolution, and not just because I'm holding NO. It's important that people keep their word.

@NcyRocks if he’s persuaded to resolve YES, he’s still keeping his word to “resolve NO unless he’s persuaded to resolve yes”

@bens I guess so, but I'd still like to think that nothing the Manifold community could do would work.

@NcyRocks why do you think that? Is there really nothing positive I could do to make your hypothetical equivalent market resolve yes?

@NcyRocks Technically this is a threat to be sad and therefore I must state it will not influence my decision in either direction but I agree it is important to keep your word.

@Joshua I think It’s only a threat if it’s something that I wouldn’t have done normally, done with the intent to sway your decision. That I’ll be disappointed is just a fact. But you still shouldn’t consider it separately, it should just be baked into your existing commitments.

And it seems that more commenters would be disappointed with a NO anyway.

@Odoacre There’s probably something, but if you can do something positive, why would you only do it to make me change a market’s resolution? If it’s for me, there’s probably something else I’d rather trade for it, and if it’s altruistic, why not just do it?

@NcyRocks hm discarding Joshua's reasonable interpretation of a threat and doubling down on it as a NO holder...

this is a compelling strategy to steer a YES, i'm on board

If anyone wants to attempt bribing Joshua here I publicly commit to giving 5k mana to Joshua conditional on this market resolving YES and Joshua accepts someone's mana bribe offer

@SavioMak I feel like he will not be motivated by mana

@SavioMak For 5000 mana I will sell you a publically random 1 in 10 billion chance the market resolves yes, with no promise that this is a set rate or that I'd do it again.

@Joshua that implies the worth of a YES resolution is 50 trillion mana.

https://manifold.markets/Lorelai/i-havent-decided-yet-but-i-ill-reso

behold: medium mode

@crowlsyong If this resolves NO, does Joshua get a boost in his RISK credit score for keeping his word?

Hey Ian, what would it take to make you swap the YES and NO resolution buttons on specifically August 1st?

This is a long shot, but are you gay and do you live in Australia

It's a funnier and more interesting outcome to resolve this to yes.

@bgaf I think it's a lot funnier for dozens of people to keep threatening someone who's precommitted not to respond to threats and who keeps just saying "no"