This market is like Ben's market except that I am a heartless bastard and you won't sway me so easily:
Obviously I precommit not to negotiate with terrorists, no threats you make will impact my decision in either direction. I can also ban you if you violate the community guidelines, so let's keep this friendly.
I could imagine myself being bribed, but my price is high. I was following Ben's market's comments and I think nothing that was tried there will work here, so you'll have to be original. I am subsidizing this market and betting it down as additional precommitment.
Good luck.
this is a litmus test for whether humanity is able to be happily surprised by the future
@NcyRocks if he’s persuaded to resolve YES, he’s still keeping his word to “resolve NO unless he’s persuaded to resolve yes”
@bens I guess so, but I'd still like to think that nothing the Manifold community could do would work.
@NcyRocks why do you think that? Is there really nothing positive I could do to make your hypothetical equivalent market resolve yes?
@NcyRocks Technically this is a threat to be sad and therefore I must state it will not influence my decision in either direction but I agree it is important to keep your word.
@Joshua I think It’s only a threat if it’s something that I wouldn’t have done normally, done with the intent to sway your decision. That I’ll be disappointed is just a fact. But you still shouldn’t consider it separately, it should just be baked into your existing commitments.
And it seems that more commenters would be disappointed with a NO anyway.
@Odoacre There’s probably something, but if you can do something positive, why would you only do it to make me change a market’s resolution? If it’s for me, there’s probably something else I’d rather trade for it, and if it’s altruistic, why not just do it?
@NcyRocks hm discarding Joshua's reasonable interpretation of a threat and doubling down on it as a NO holder...
this is a compelling strategy to steer a YES, i'm on board
@SavioMak For 5000 mana I will sell you a publically random 1 in 10 billion chance the market resolves yes, with no promise that this is a set rate or that I'd do it again.
@crowlsyong If this resolves NO, does Joshua get a boost in his RISK credit score for keeping his word?
@bgaf I think it's a lot funnier for dozens of people to keep threatening someone who's precommitted not to respond to threats and who keeps just saying "no"