Will a crossing between Leyte and Mindanao in the Philippines have started construction by 2035?
Will a crossing between Leyte and Mindanao in the Philippines have started construction by 2035?
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13%
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Could be a bridge, a tunnel, or even a 'submerged floating tunnel'.
Resolves on undisputed media reporting
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This seems very unlikely - Wikipedia does not even list any proposed bridges/crossing currently: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Surigao_Strait
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What is Manifold?
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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