Will Amy from Wendover Productions be a contestant on Jet Lag before 2026?
Will Amy from Wendover Productions be a contestant on Jet Lag before 2026?
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Update 2025-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Timing Update:
The market will be resolved after the information is transmitted on YouTube.
The creator has indicated that the YouTube transmission is the key trigger for the final resolution, regardless of the earlier information on Nebula.
This update adds a specific criterion that is not detailed in the original question.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Information has been transmitted on Nebula that has made people vote YES. I am closing this now and resolve it after that information is transmitted on YouTube
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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