Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
Basic
9
Ṁ4722040
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
By the end of 2024, will Ukraine still hold any of the Russian territory it currently holds?
94% chance
Will Russia take more territory than what Ukraine will regain between beginning and EOY 2024
76% chance
Will the Russian Federation break up into multiple independent states before 2030
26% chance
Will Russia formally cede any territory before 2030?
48% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will Russia be broken up by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Russia officially recognize Crimea, Donetsk, or Luhansk as part of Ukraine before 2030?
22% chance
Will a territory with over 1 million people cease to be part of Russia by 2025?
3% chance
Will Russia lose control of at least as much territory inside Russia as it did to Wagner by the end of 2030?
40% chance
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
36% chance