Will a soldier from a NATO country be confirmed killed in action inside Ukraine during 2024?
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51
Ṁ5142
Dec 31
6%
chance

Must be serving in a NATO military at time of death, which must be while on duty. Pre-2014 borders. Includes airstrikes. Must be reported in 3 out of following: BBC, NYT, CNN, Reuters, AP.

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Just a friendly reminder, that Republic of Türkiye is also member of NATO

@ibuprofen Sorry, updated description to discount these cases.

@Keepcalmandchill But when I bet, wouldn't it have counted given the live description?

I presume this only includes soldiers that are in duty for their country at the time of death? I.e. members of the foreign troops under AFU wouldn't count, right?

@MartinModrak Correct, updated description.

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