Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028?
Basic
0
2028
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
People in San Francisco are working on launching a public bank: https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/san-francisco-public-bank-17781925.php
Let's estimate the probability that this bank will actually get off the ground. Will the bank issue one loan before January 1, 2028?
Feb 22, 7:25pm: Will San Francisco have a public bank accept deposits before January 1, 2028? → Will San Francisco have a public bank issue at least one loan before January 1, 2028?
(Question and description changed because the bank will not initially be able to accept deposits.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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