
Will Mistral's next model make it to the top 10 models in LLM Arena by the end of 2025?
Basic
4
Ṁ30Dec 31
45%
chance
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1W
1M
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Market Description:
Mistral has been releasing competitive AI models like Pixtral 12B.
The question is whether Mistral's next model will make the top 10 on the LLM Arena leaderboard.
LLM Arena ranks large language models based on benchmarks like reasoning and multimodal tasks.
Resolution Criteria:
The market resolves YES if Mistral's next model ranks in the top 10 on LLM Arena by December 31, 2025.
The ranking must be verified from the official LLM Arena website.
If no Mistral model reaches the top 10 by the deadline, the market resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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