Will China declare war on another country by 2030? | Manifold

Will China declare war on another country by 2030?

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23

Ṁ877

2030

25%

chance

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1W

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Resolves YES if:

China makes a declaration of war by 2030.

Resolves NO if:

China doesn't make a declaration of war by 2030.

If for some reason China invades without declaring war, I will still resolve NO to remove ambiguity.

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Friendly reminder that Taiwan is not another country from Beijing's perspective.

predictedNO

@BrunoParga and also that countries very rarely declare war these days anyway.

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