In what quarter of a year will the criminal trial in Georgia against Trump have opening statements
In what quarter of a year will the criminal trial in Georgia against Trump have opening statements
Basic
9
Ṁ11k2026
0.1%
Q1 2024
0.1%
Q2 2024
1.3%
Q3 2024
0.1%
Q4 2024
0.1%
Q1 2025
0.1%
Q2 2025
0.1%
Q3 2025
0.1%
Q4 2025
0.1%
Q1 2026
0.1%
Q2 2026
0.1%
Q3 2026
0.1%
Q4 2026
98%
None of the above
Market will resolve on the day any opening statements in the criminal trial against Trump in Georgia begins
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@HillaryClinton hi, this is a dependent market (all probs sum to 1.0), which means that only one answer will Resolve YES. there’s no way to Resolve anything NO before that.
fees are currently gone, so you can sell your positions without losing much. but the mods can’t help you here.
opened a Ṁ60 Q3 2024 YES at 10% order6mo
@mattyb Thanks for letting me know. I have a ton of Mana locked up in Q3 2024. I already moved the market to 14% for something that should be 0%, since the date has passed.
I'll just wait and hope someone comes along and is willing to wait years for the free return.
bought Ṁ850 Q3 2024 NO10mo
Please resolve Q1 2024 as NO. You can resolve that without resolving the others.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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