Will the record for the largest known Mersenne prime be broken by the end of 2024? | Manifold

Will the record for the largest known Mersenne prime be broken by the end of 2024?

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A Mersenne prime is a prime number that can be expressed as 2^n-1 for some positive integer n. The largest known Mersenne prime as of 11/18/23 is 2^82,589,933 − 1. This record was set in December 2018.

Reputable sources must agree by 12/31/2024 that the number has been proven to be prime, and proofs assisted by computer computations are, of course, allowed.

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https://www.mersenne.org/primes/?press=M136279841 resolves yes

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Oops, I set the market to close on the wrong date. As per the question and resolution criteria, the market is reopen until 12/31/24.

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