Will we have a FOSS equivalent of GPT-4 by the end of the year?
Basic
32
Ṁ4545resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
With this much excitement and energy in the LLM space, I am fairly confident in this prediction: Before the end of this year, there will be an open source model that is equivalent in quality to #GPT4 Then, AI researchers and the AI community will go to town and improve it.
(https://twitter.com/KevinAFischer/status/1637214737451855874)
Resolves positive if a FOSS model (no signup required to download) is pubically available by 12/31/23 that outperforms GPT-4 on at least 50% of the tests listed in this article (https://www.semafor.com/article/03/15/2023/how-gpt-4-performed-in-academic-exams)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by the end of 2024?
68% chance
Who will release a GPT-4o comparable model in 2024?
Will an open source model beat GPT-4 in 2024?
65% chance
Will GPT-4o ("omni") be released by the end of the year? (see description)
26% chance
Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?
15% chance
Is GPT-4 best? (Thru 2025)
63% chance
Will China recreate GPT-4o by EOY 2024?
20% chance
Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?
85% chance
Will the GPT architecture be replaced by another, more efficient architecture by the end of 2024?
31% chance
Will we have an open-source model that is equivalent GPT-4 by end of 2025?
82% chance