How many of the living players on the Tontine Discord server run by Polybius will see Year 3?
Basic
1
αΉ€387
Dec 29
6%
0
6%
1
6%
30
5%
32
4%
33
3%
34
2%
35
2%
36
67%
Other

https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-12-31, 312 players remain, of whom 36 are in Polybius's Tontine Discord server.

The market resolves to the number of living players who began the year in Polybius's Tontine Discord server who are still alive in Tontine at the start of Year 3, 2024-12-29 - there were 36 of these. Anyone may add guesses, but the market will not resolve to any choice that does not specify a single integer and will resolve to the correct guess that was added first - any duplicates, ranges, or noninteger or nonnumeric values will always resolve NO.

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αΉ€1,000
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Mastema has died! 10 server deaths this year!

Hellstruck has died! 9 server deaths this year!

crasion528 has died! 8 server deaths this year!

Felzero has died! 7 server deaths this year!

Quicklime has died! 6 server deaths this year!

Aflamingtruck has died! 5 server deaths this year.

Oscar has died! 4 server deaths this year.

CMgnarles has died! 3 server deaths this year.

Jackpade has died! 2 server deaths this year.

Your Mother has died! 1 server death this year so far.

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