Who Will Win the Chess World Cup 2025?
Who Will Win the Chess World Cup 2025?
Basic
7
Ṁ1762026
22%
Fabiano Caruana
20%
Arjun Erigaisi
18%
Gukesh D
18%
Magnus Carlsen
13%
Hikaru Nakamura
13%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
13%
Alireza Firouzja
13%
Wei Yi
12%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
11%
Hans Niemann
The Chess World Cup happens once every 2 years. The 2025 edition is a path to the FIDE Candidates 2026. More options will be added during the tournament if another player is doing well.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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